statistics

Regularized Regression Can Reintroduce Backdoor Confounding: The Case of Mass Polarization (Accepted at APSR)
Regularization can reduce the problem of extreme inference but inappropriate use can lead to reopening backdoor paths and lead to highly biased estimates.
Jonathan Mellon, Christopher Prosser
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Regularized Regression Can Reintroduce Backdoor Confounding: The Case of Mass Polarization (Accepted at APSR)
What Drives Electoral Change? Evidence From 104 Inter-Election Panel Surveys in 18 Countries
Do election results change because people switch parties or because different people show up to the polls? Across 104 election pairs, this papers shows that vote switching is the overwhelming driver of electoral change.
Jonathan Mellon
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What Drives Electoral Change? Evidence From 104 Inter-Election Panel Surveys in 18 Countries